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The first limited event dragon has arrived; the Giddle dragon; and it can be bred with any combination that includes the right 3 elements.
Plant + Earth + Light
It has a 3% chance of being bred, and the 2 dragons with the shortest breed times, that contain all 3 elements are Forest + Sand.
No fails longer than 14 hours, and no epics in the mix, so the average fail time is 9.47 hours. 3% chance translates to 23 attempts to have a 50/50 shot of breeding one, which is just over 9 days. However, with so few dragons, the regular fails that are 12+ hour dragons (Moss, Glass, Luminous & Tree) will be showing up 10% of the time. So what if we increased the number of dragon possibilities by adding the Fire element, thus adding a lot of short breed fails?
Poison + Sand
We have now doubled the number of fails, and included a small chance of getting a Rainbow or a Double Rainbow. But the vast majority of fails are shorter than our previous average of 9.47 hours. And we have decreased the chance of those long regular fails from 10% to 2.66%. Not to mention given an extra 10% to a 30 minute fail in Poison.
We still need 23 attempts for our 50/50 chance, but our average fail time has dropped to 8.64 hours. Which translates to 8.28 days. On average. If you are breeding for Giddle in all your breeding caves, I would certainly recommend this combination in your regular breeding cave, which won’t boost the chance of the Rainbows.
Cloning + Breeding
If you have a friend who is sharing a Giddle dragon, you can certainly try to clone it. And because Giddle shares the same elements that you need to breed it, you combine the breeding and cloning chances together. Giddle + Sand looks like this:
A total of 4.5% chance to breed or clone Giddle, means 16 attempts needed for an even money shot at getting one. The Forest dragon drops to 5% chance, because it no longer has a chance to clone. So the average fail time increases slightly to 9.59 hours. This translates to 6.39 days of breeding to get one in the CBC. You will have, on average, 18 chances with this combination, during the week it is available. Not counting the attempts sped up by gems. This will give you a 56% chance of getting one.
I bet you want to know what happens when we add the fire element to the mix. No? Then scroll past the following table to the next heading.
Still a 4.5% chance of Giddle, so still 16 attempts to get to a 50/50 shot. But the extra short fails, and the 10% added to clone a Poison drops the average fail time to 8.72 hours. And the time required for an even money shot at a Giddle drops to 5.82 days. In the 7 days that Giddle is available, you have 20 attempts at breeding with this combination, which is a 60% chance of getting one. This is only a few percent better than not adding fire, and you might not want to risk the chance of the super long fails. But every 7th fail in this combo will be a Poison dragon, and those fails are very cheap to speed up.
However, there is one more option available to you. The 3 Giddle dragon elements are shared by another event dragon; Murano. So if you still don’t have one of those, you can now try for both at the same time.
Giddle & Murano
As per my first event post, the recommend dragon to clone a Murano is the Wind dragon. But you now have Giddle as an additional fail with this combination.
There is a combined chance of getting Murano or Giddle of 4.5%, the same chance as trying to clone for a Giddle directly. 16 attempts required to for a 50/50 shot at getting one or the other, and the average fail time has now dropped to 10.26 hours. 6.84 days to get an even money chance at either of these event dragons.